House / TX-9Texas's 9th district 2026 · open seat, held by Republicans · new 2026 map

Republican is heavily favored in TX-9

Democrat8%Democrat

Republican92%Republican

Median marginR+9.080%: R+17.0 to R+1.0

Cook PVIR+92026 lines

Tipping point0.1%decides the majority

District pollsNonefundamentals only

Range of outcomes

Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 0.0 points (open seat, none).

Daily reruns of the model

Each day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.

Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27

CookSolid R

Inside ElectionsSolid R

SabatoSolid R

Race to the WHLikely R

EconomistLikely R

Split TicketLikely R

DDHQLikely R

FiftyPlusOneSolid R

Fox NewsSolid R

Silver BulletinSolid R

Pollster	Field end	Sample	Result
No public district polls found.