House / OH-7Ohio's 7th district 2026 · held by Republicans · new 2026 map
Brian Poindexter is slightly favored in OH-7
Brian Poindexter70%Democrat
Max Miller30%Republican · incumbent
Median marginD+3.080%: R+4.0 to D+10.0
Cook PVIR+52026 lines
Tipping point2.4%decides the majority
District pollsD+7.85 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 1.5 points.
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bedrock Polling (D) | Aug 10 | 866 LV | 43–35 D+8.0 |
| co/efficient (R) | Aug 6 | 615 LV | 47–33 D+14.0 |
| Tavern Research (D) | Aug 5 | 635 LV | 54–46 D+8.0 |
| Unknown (Reported by NOTUS) | Jul 30 | – RV | 44–39 D+5.0 |
| co/efficient (R) | Jul 30 | – LV | 44–39 D+5.0 |