House / NH-2New Hampshire's 2nd district 2026 · held by Democrats
Maggie Goodlander is heavily favored in NH-2
Maggie Goodlander>99%Democrat · incumbent
Lily Tang Williams<1%Republican
Median marginD+17.080%: D+10.0 to D+24.0
Cook PVID+22026 lines
Tipping point0.1%decides the majority
District pollsD+17.94 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 3.0 points.
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm | Oct 20 | 861 LV | 54–38 D+16.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 21 | 702 LV | 56–35 D+21.0 |
| Saint Anselm | Aug 18 | 701 LV | 50–35 D+15.0 |
| Saint Anselm | Jun 25 | 1,614 RV | 50–31 D+19.0 |