House / NE-2Nebraska's 2nd district 2026 · open seat, held by Republicans
Denise Powell is heavily favored in NE-2
Denise Powell98%Democrat
Brinker Harding2%Republican
Median marginD+13.080%: D+5.0 to D+20.0
Cook PVID+32026 lines
Tipping point0.4%decides the majority
District pollsD+10.12 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 0.0 points (open seat, none).
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs | Oct 5 | 800 LV | 50–38 D+12.0 |
| SurveyUSA | Sep 13 | 182 LV | 46–42 D+4.0 |