House / NC-9North Carolina's 9th district 2026 · held by Republicans · new 2026 map
Richard Hudson is heavily favored in NC-9
Richard Ojeda9%Democrat
Richard Hudson91%Republican · incumbent
Median marginR+8.080%: R+16.0 to Even
Cook PVIR+82026 lines
Tipping point0.1%decides the majority
District pollsR+7.01 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 1.5 points.
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 20 | 526 LV | 42–46 R+4.0 |