House / FL-25Florida's 25th district 2026 · held by Democrats · new 2026 map
Jared Moskowitz is slightly favored in FL-25
Jared Moskowitz67%Democrat · incumbent
Scott Singer33%Republican
Median marginD+2.080%: R+5.0 to D+10.0
Cook PVIR+32026 lines
Tipping point2.4%decides the majority
District pollsR+0.52 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 1.5 points.
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 22 | 592 LV | 47–42 D+5.0 |
| National Research Inc. (R) | Oct 15 | 400 LV | 42–49 R+7.0 |