House / FL-11Florida's 11th district 2026 · open seat, held by Republicans · new 2026 map

Republican is favored in FL-11

Democrat20%Democrat

Republican80%Republican

Median marginR+5.080%: R+13.0 to D+3.0

Cook PVIR+72026 lines

Tipping point0.4%decides the majority

District pollsNonefundamentals only

Range of outcomes

Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 0.0 points (open seat, none).

Daily reruns of the model

Each day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.

Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27

CookSolid R

Inside ElectionsSolid R

SabatoSolid R

Race to the WHLean R

EconomistLean R

Split TicketLikely R

DDHQLikely R

FiftyPlusOneLikely R

Fox NewsSolid R

Silver BulletinLikely R

Pollster	Field end	Sample	Result
No public district polls found.