House / CO-5Colorado's 5th district 2026 · held by Republicans
Jeff Crank is slightly favored in CO-5
Jessica Killin28%Democrat
Jeff Crank72%Republican · incumbent
Median marginR+3.080%: R+11.0 to D+4.0
Cook PVIR+52026 lines
Tipping point0.7%decides the majority
District pollsR+1.63 polls, adjusted
Range of outcomes
How the forecast is built
Lean: twice the PVI plus the generic ballot (D+8.7). Incumbency adds 3.0 points.
Chance of winning over time
Daily reruns of the modelEach day is a fresh run of today's model using only the polls that had finished by the day before. Daily runs since Jul 1.
What the forecasters say
Ten published ratings; Cook updated through Oct 27What this seat means for control
District polls
| Pollster | Field end | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 20 | 577 LV | 47–47 Even |
| Global Strategy Group (D) | Oct 18 | 500 LV | 43–38 D+5.0 |
| Global Strategy Group (D) | Jul 21 | 450 LV | 44–45 R+1.0 |